Improved Railway Timetable Robustness for Reduced Traffic Delays – a MILP approach

Maintaining high on-time performance and at the same time having high capacity utilization is a challenge for several railway traffic systems. The system becomes sensitive to disturbances and delays are easily propagating in the network. One way to handle this problem is to create more robust timetables; timetables that can absorb delays and prevent them from propagating. This paper presents an optimization approach to reduce the propagating of delays with a more efficient margin allocation in the timetable. A Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP) model is proposed in which the existing margin time is re-allocated to increase the robustness for an existing timetable. The model re-allocates both runtime margin time and headway margin time to increase the robustness at specific delay sensitive points in a timetable. We illustrate the model’s applicability for a real-world case where an initial, feasible timetable is modified to create new timetables with increased robustness. These new timetables are then evaluated and compared to the initial timetable. We evaluate how the MILP approach affects the initial timetable structure and its capability to handle disturbances by exposing the initial and the modified timetables to some minor initial disturbances of the range 1 up to 7 minutes. The results show that it is possible to reduce the delays by re-allocating margin time, for example, the total delay at end station decreases with 28 % in our real-world example.